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It’s unclear whether regulators will push this agenda, especially
since funds, egged on by investors, are already largely
disclosing more and following better-defined processes than
they used to.
And regulators are likely most interested in potential systemic
risks. The New York Federal Reserve, for instance, engineered
a bailout of the Long-Term Capital Management
(LTCM) fund in 1998 because its losses threatened banks
and other lenders, an event regulators are keen to avoid
looking ahead.
Herring says that, on the one hand, hedge funds can have the flexibility and often the courage to take the other side of
markets when traditional investors
are selling. “That’s
a very good thing” for the
health of the system, he
says. The danger is another
LTCM—in the form of
trouble at a big fund or a
group of funds all with similar
market bets.
This could have happened
last summer when
credit briefly all but dried
up—something that could
have triggered major problems
for hedge funds, because
many of them rely
heavily on borrowed money.
But as it turned out, the
bigger losses appear to have
been taken by banks and
Wall Street brokers.
For now, that tends to
vindicate the U.S. regulators’
strategy to date, which is to
scrutinize regulated banks
and brokers that lend to
hedge funds, indirectly controlling
the funds’ borrowing
and risk-taking capacity.
Nonetheless, “If we have
another blow-up that has
the systemic implications of LTCM, I think there’s going
to be tougher talk about regulation,” Herring says.
An Alluring Career Option
For those within it, the hedge fund industry can be a
pot of gold. In 2006, three top fund managers each took home
more than $1 billion, according to Alpha magazine. The top
25 earners garnered more than $14 billion among them.
Indeed, for those who enjoy money and investing, working
for a fund is an alluring option. Finerman, for instance,
always knew she wanted a career in investing; thus,
Wharton was the only school she applied to. “For someone
with laser-like focus on being in capital markets there was
no other alternative.”
Finerman is one of just a few women heading hedge funds.
“It’s really only a handful,” she says, adding that she believes
the balance will change over time. “It’s a very male-dominated
world, but I’m comfortable in it. I can be a little different,
and that can sometimes work to my benefit.”
For some, the thrill of making money for investors and
themselves and the belief that they fuel the capitalist engines
of growth and prosperity are satisfying enough. Steinhardt
says he persuaded himself he was doing something of economic
importance. Now, with the benefit of hindsight, he
isn’t so sure. “I would grudgingly think hedge funds are not
in any way ennobled in their effort to get rich.”
Even so, there’s no denying that his hedge fund days have
made him wealthy enough to devote plenty of money and
much of his time to philanthropy from his office overlooking
New York’s Central Park.
Of course, there’s a danger that the recent accumulations
of wealth in hedge funds and private equity provoke a backlash—something Gaine of the MFA says he has so far seen
mostly in the form of calls for higher taxation on alternative
investment managers, whose compensation, particularly in
the case of private equity, is often taxed at the capital gain rate
rather than the higher income tax rate.
But even if higher taxes come to pass, they aren’t likely
to dent the attractiveness of the industry much, whether for
budding hedge fund managers or for investors, experts say.
A Bumpy Road Ahead
Back in 2004, Asness pointed out that in considering then
novel-seeming hedge funds, investors should consider that at
one time, they might have asked: “Why mutual funds now?
Why money market funds now? Why index funds now?”
“Why hedge funds now?” is a question that isn’t asked
much any more, but the industry is still maturing and shifting.
Investor expectations may need to adjust, as may fund
managers’ hopes of collecting generous fees without having to
divulge much about their methods, industry observers say.
“The road will not be short, and certainly not free of bumps,”
Asness says. He added that “bump” was a euphemism for “some
people losing a lot of money at some point.” But investors
shouldn’t be surprised by the occasional hedge fund blow-up,
provided they were told about the kind of risks being taken.
Herring has another view of the future, with some big
funds diversifying into other financial services as Citadel, for
example, is doing. “We may see some of them reinventing
themselves as other kinds of institutions,” he says. Does that
mean even high-flying Goldman Sachs bankers need watch
their backs? Herring puts it this way: “It’s not just commercial
banks that may need to worry about disintermediation.”
Richard Beales is associate editor at Breakingviews, an online financial comment site. Breakingviews articles are available at www.breakingviews.com and also appear in the Wall Street Journal and a range of European newspapers.
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