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Continued from previous page
Putting Theory to Work at Dupont
Executive Education is not only a product of industry
collaborationit can also be the originator. The next pair of copresenters
at the Impact Conference on innovation actually
began their relationship in an ExecEd classroom.
Ian C. MacMillan, director of Wharton's Sol C. Snider
Entrepreneurial Center and The Dhirubhai Ambani Professor
of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, has worked with
John Ranieri, now vice president and general manager of
DuPont Bio-Based Materials since 1996. The two met when
Ranieri was a visiting fellow as part of Wharton's Advanced
Management Program, the intensive five-week Executive
Education program offered to highly qualified senior managers.
Ranieri has utilized and developed entrepreneurial management
structures that more effectively develop and lead
transformative growth opportunities in an environment
where information, speed, and adaptability are of critical
importance. As an example, a real options framework developed
by Ian MacMillan was applied to more effectively assess
and maximize a portfolio's valuation. The idea is that a
small upfront commitment for the initial stages of new product
development is a "real option," similar to a financial option.
Investors have a choice to make larger investments in
later stages if the technology successfully passes early tests.
The system was further elaborated for greater adaptability, to
maximize capital leverage, and to develop partnerships that
are accretive in value.
Ranieri further allocated his investments in an "opportunity
portfolio"a concept introduced by MacMillan and
Columbia's Rita Gunther McGrath, GrW'93, in their book,
The Entrepreneurial Mindset. Picture a matrix with two axes:
technological uncertainty and market uncertainty. Projects
with low uncertainty in both dimensions are Enhancementsnew products
that generate incremental revenue by improving
or finding new applications for existing products.
Those that have high uncertainty in both dimensions are
Stepping Stoneshigh risk but with the potential to transform
both technology and the marketplace.
Organizing investments in this manner and using options-
based management and financial systems assures that
both winners are identified in a timely fashion, while projects
that are not market-valid or technologically feasible are
stopped before they become too costly.
MacMillan and McGrath advocate establishing a strategy,
structuring an opportunity portfolio that supports it, then
employing adaptive execution (i.e., learning along the way
through the use of real options).
In 2002 Ranieri, who holds a PhD in medical sciences,
joined the unit of DuPont charged with creating greener
energy sources and materials using biology, chemistry, materials
science, and engineering. Two years earlier, DuPont
Chairman & CEO Chad Holliday had set a target for
DuPont to derive 25 percent of its revenue from non-depletable
resources by 2010a lofty goal.
Ranieri mapped DuPont's projects into opportunity matrices,
and the product development cycle for Bio-Based
products was aligned to create a portfolio with allocations
in each sector of the opportunity matrix. By understanding
the overall mix, the business created new product targets that
were both high value-in-use and reduced the associated environmental
impact.
Instead of evaluating projects across the board, each was
evaluated within its sector. Instead of embarking on massive
but risky projects, DuPont used relatively small investments
to gain knowledge, reduce uncertainty, and target capital investments
intelligently.
Five years later, DuPont Bio-Based Materials is reaping
the benefits with a dozen Bio-Based Materials business opportunities
ready for commercialization in the next five to
seven years.
"Real options framework changes the dynamics of the
team and the questions asked," said Ranieri. "For example,
here's a question that was not obvious several years ago in the
biofuels market: ¡®Is there something else we could make that
is superior and could be transformative? How can we have
both value-added products and reduce the environmental
footprint at the same time?' It turned out that these qualities
weren't mutually exclusive. We opened up new large-market
opportunities with the technology base, and as we learned,
we found surprises along the way that weren't factored in the
original valuations. We won both ways, feeding success and
stopping failure simultaneously."
As an example, the answers to those questions resulted in
significant new product opportunitiesan integrated process
that produces cellulosic ethanol from parts of the corn that
were formerly waste products and partnered with Broin, and a
further partnership with BP to develop biobutanol, which has
advantaged performance as a fuel compared to ethanol.
"Being able to ask the right questions at the front-end of innovation
is not obvious nor easy," he said. "But when you can
more effectively learn and adapt, that's how you get the right answers
that create significant value and transform markets."
How a Vanguard Partnership Creates a Unique Knowledge
In October 2006, the Pension Research Council (PRC) published
a new working paper on trading behavior in pension
plans. Just another academic research paper? Not in this
casefor it arose out of a unique multi-year partnership
forged between the Wharton Pension Research Council and
Vanguard Group, an investment management company and
one of the Center's Senior Partners.
This partnership gave PRC Director Olivia Mitchell,
International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans
Professor and professor of insurance and risk management,
and Takeshi Yamaguchi, a doctoral student in insurance and
risk management, an opportunity to conduct real-world empirical
research on the behavior of 401(k) plan participants.
It also gave them two co-authorsGary R. Mottola, a researcher
at the Vanguard Center for Retirement Research
with a PhD in social psychology, and Stephen P. Utkus,
WG'84, the founding director and principal of the Vanguard
Center whose deep interest in investor decision-making began
during his years at Wharton.
While Vanguard was a long-time member of PRC's 24-company
advisory board, a ground-breaking research collaboration
grew out of an Impact Conference on behavioral finance, which
both Mitchell and Utkus co-organized in 2003.
"Our conference looked at the psychological and socio-
logical, as well as economic determinants on behavior," said
Mitchell. "Yet coming out of the conference, we recognize
that little in behavioral finance focused on real-world investment
decision-making in retirement plans. There was information
from other fieldsnot pensionsthat people
traded too much and were unduly influenced by what their
coworkers told them around the water coolernot the determinants
that financial planners would even consider in
the decision-making process. We wanted to see how these
apply to pensions."
Vanguard was the perfect partner. "Research collaborations
with industry depend on an individual who wants to
get involved and who champions the project," Mitchell explained.
"Steve was unique in understanding how academic
research applied to his company."
The Vanguard Center for Retirement Research was created
in 2001 and has been led by Utkus since its inception. It was established
as part of the Institutional Investor Group at Vanguard
overseen by managing director Bill McNabb, WG'83.
"In the early days of formulating our research agenda, Bill
and I were talking about the question of 401(k) trading,"
stated Utkus. "We knew that only a few participants traded,
but some did so actively, and we were wondering whether
they were actually making money or possibly undermining
themselves and their retirement security by trading excessively.
Over time I attended several of Olivia's PRC conferences
and also became involved with the PRC advisory board."
When the 2003 behavioral finance conference revealed a
gap in the research, the researchers of Vanguard and PRC decided
to pool research efforts to look at 401(k) trading.
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