The Wharton Alumni Magazine
Winter 1999
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Going Up!

Debating the Future of Social Security

Beyond SATs and GMATs

An Inside Look at Emerging Economics

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School Update

Alumni Profiles

Continued from previous page

“These conglomerates exist in emerging economies but they are not all the same,” Guillén says. “In Korea, for example, they are all powerful and very prominent. In other countries they are not as important. I have been trying to look at their histories, see how they have grown or shrunk over time and then figure out exactly what the conditions are that give rise to their success or failure.”

Guillén takes a “resource-based” approach in his analysis of business groups. He divides resources into three types – inputs (labor, capital and raw materials), process-related knowledge (technology and operations proficiency) and markets (distribution channels and contracts with foreign and domestic customers or with the state). However, having the necessary resources is not enough for a business group to sustain its competitive advantage over time, Guillén argues. Also necessary are “certain limits to competition,” especially in the areas of foreign trade and foreign direct investment. Guillén’s research shows that business groups thrive in countries following an “asymmetric development strategy” combining high levels of exports and outward investment with low levels of imports and inward investment (e.g. Korea). They decline in countries following a “symmetric development strategy” with high levels of trade and investment in both directions (e.g. Spain).

Looked at another way, host countries that restrict foreign multi-nationals provide “opportunities for local entrepreneurs to start diversifying across industries,” especially if it is feasible for them to simply buy technology from foreign multinationals and manufacture the goods – ranging from TV sets to cars to memory chips – themselves.

Conversely, to the extent that countries or governments dismantle this protectionism, business groups find it necessary to refocus. The result is that they become proficient in a few areas rather than “mediocre in 20.” This, in turn, has important implications for governments and managers alike, as well as the country’s overall success within the larger global environment, notes Guillén.

First, “when governments give advantages to certain entrepreneurs or firms and restrict access by foreigners they should expect the growth of powerful business groups that will most likely try to derail attempts at liberal economic reform.”

Second, if the government encourages local and foreign firms to focus on the domestic market alone, without engaging in exports or outward investment, it will be encouraging business groups to enter into coalitions with foreign multinationals to share this domestic market. “Such an ‘inward looking’ strategy is not a particularly healthy one for the country at large,” Guillén notes. Furthermore, since multinationals in this situation are not encouraged to export their products, they will try to maximize their profits by charging high prices for domestic goods and services. “Consumers are the losers,” Guillén adds.

Business groups emerge in part because of their connections to the government, Guillén says. “If you cut these ties, as the Koreans are trying to do, but don’t open up competition by letting foreign companies operate without restrictions, then you won’t see these business groups decline.” It’s one of the reasons that economic reforms in several Latin American countries – Argentina, Brazil, Colombia – have not eroded the position of the business groups: They are moving into industries not fully open to foreigners, such as telecommunications, electricity and natural resources.

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