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Fall 2000
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The Psychology of Consumer Choice

The Psychology of Consumer Choice
By Nancy Moffitt

Wharton’s Mary Frances Luce Sheds Light on the Decisions We Make – and The Role Our Emotions Play

Imagine going to the doctor for your annual physical, including the usual battery of screening tests your physician recommends each year. You think nothing of it all – it’s familiar territory – and when you leave the office your mind is onto other matters of the day.

But a week later, you receive an unexpected phone call: your results have come back, and they reveal something suspicious. Anxious and full of questions, you return to the hospital for another round of testing, and once again wait for your results. After a week of worrying, the doctor calls to tell you that everything appears to be normal after all, and suggests you simply return next again year for the same routine testing.

Crisis averted, no harm, no foul? Or do you now feel more – or less – vulnerable? Will you respond the same way, quickly dashing in for follow-up testing, the next time you get an unexpected phone call from your doctor?

Wharton’s Mary Frances Luce explores these questions and others that probe the psychology of consumer decision making. Luce, associate professor of marketing, has broken new ground in her examination of a previously ignored area of consumer behavior: how decisions – from pursuing medical testing to buying a car – are affected by emotion, especially negative emotion.

Luce, 32, earned her PhD at Duke University, noted for its research on the behavioral aspects of decision making. The implications of such investigation are obvious: predicting consumer action and choice. But most research on decision making has taken a somewhat clinical view of how and why people pick one item or course of action over another, looking at decisions as little more than problem-solving exercises or herd mentality.

Luce has taken a different view, however, and her research has borne out her hunches. In a variety of contexts and through a number of experiments, Luce has demonstrated that our choices change – sometimes dramatically – if we are faced with aspects of a decision that frighten or upset us.

Her research on how people respond to medical test results, co-authored with Wharton’s Barbara Kahn and published last year in the Journal of Consumer Research , revealed that initially suspicious test results that ultimately show no disease – often called false positives – increase a patient’s feeling of vulnerability and can influence later decisions to get re-tested.

In their paper, Luce and Kahn note that a focus on saving lives through early diagnosis has resulted in a proliferation of medical tests today, from pap smears to mammograms, blood tests for prostate cancer and sexually transmitted disease screening. Thus, today’s consumers are faced with a barrage of suggested screening tests and frequently must decide whether to engage in repeated screening tests after a suspicious test result.

And there’s little doubt that not finding a malady ultimately costs more than follow-up tests. As a result, most medical screening tests are hyper-sensitive by design, flagging suspicious results roughly 15 to 20 percent of the time for mammograms, for instance, when only 2 to 6 percent of those ultimately lead to a breast cancer diagnosis.

Luce and Kahn write that the costs of not diagnosing an illness are obvious: a disease cannot be treated if it is not detected. But what about the psychological costs to patients who are informed of a suspicious test result and undergo follow-up testing, only to be told that they are healthy, after all? In a variety of research writings, physicians have for years expressed worry about the emotional trauma to patients and subsequent effects on their decisions to seek further medical testing. But prior to Luce and Kahn’s paper, no experimental research on the subject had taken place.

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